Important events for the week:
1. JPY- Japan GDP- Gross Domestic Product, the main measure of economic activity and growth, Sun., Nov. 15, 6:50 pm, ET.
2. USD- U.S. Retail Sales, an important gauge of consumer spending measuring the total receipts at stores that sell durable and non-durable goods, Mon., Nov. 16, 8:30 am, ET.
3. GBP- [...]
Click to enlarge
Click to enlarge
Hedge funds are back and boy are they ruling the roost. Almost all strategies have paid off except the ones which have been negative equities. But at some point the carry currency is going to reverse and when it does….we might just have 2008 all over again.
Click on the image to enlarge
The India story has always been dollar story. As dollar continues to weaken smaller emerging economies like India start getting flooded by liquidity and thus pushing assets prices. While some argue that India is a growth story, I disagree. It is the rate of FII inflows that has returned the [...]
The idea is this: include happiness and other indicators (such as access to health care and other benefits that promote well-being) in the data that form a country’s GDP rather than just financial indicators
Out of the 5 items above, none is positive for the dollar or the US. The Chinese stimulus was always directed at stimulating its domestic demand rather than benefit its export industries. While the export industries have not been untouched by the stimulus, the overwhelming focus has been on domestic demand. Industrial output, Bank lending [...]